Tuesday, 9 March 2021

Osborne Reef

Florida is a pub-quiz distinctive state, no? If you were presented with an outline map of the USA, how many states could you identify? More if I gave you a list of all 50 and you could check them off: if that's Wyoming, this must be Colorado. New Mexico and Arizona are down in the SW with a lorra desert but is it AZ NM or NM AZ? Did you know how much trouble there was assigning two-letter abbreviations to states who {Mississippi Michigan Minnesota Missouri} gets MI? But you'd surely clock Florida: it's the dangly one in the SE pointing at Cuba. But even if you'd spent a week at Disney World, you might be stretched to name the ten most populous cities in the state [Orlando is 4th]. I learned a lot after being told that Osborne Reef was the responsibility of Broward County. 

  • Broward is basically Fort Lauderdale and its 'burbs with an uninhabited hinterland of swamp and wetlands bisected by I75. Broward-urbs is a 50 x 20km bloc of city blocks; an arbitrary administrative chunk of a mighty beachfront conurbation extending 250km from Homestead and Miami up to Palm Beach in the North
  • Broward is 5x closer to Freeport, Grand Bahama than it is to the state capitol in Tallahassee
  • Broward is named for Napoleon Bonaparte Broward, a state governor who a) wanted to drain the Everglades for farming b) planned to ship all the blacks out of Florida having CPOed all their property. His statue was removed to storage in October 2017 c) regularised the state hospital system d) set U. Florida off on its rise to greatness e) implemented a state text-book distribution system
  • You now know more about Broward and his county than anyone in your own county. 

The reef? The reef! It seemed like a great idea when promoted with shiny-eyed advocacy.  A reef off-shore from Fort Lauderdale would provide a refuge for [game] fish by extending some existing patches of reef off the coast. Reefs are known to mitigate the battery of on-shore waves in rough weather; remember that the Florida coast is ever waiting for the next hurricane. On the other hand, Florida is the third most populous state of the Union; and every 'Merkin needs a car; and you can only retread car-tires thrice before you're down to blowoutable metal. Florida therefore has mountains of old auto tires. Bundled up with steel cables they could be sunk off the coast, shellfish larvae would settle, coral would grow and soon the tires would covered in a natural, not to say beautiful, habitat for fish, invertebrates and recreational scuba-divers. 

What could possibly go wrong? 

With appro from the US Corps of Army Engineers and authorization from Broward County, in 1974 Broward Artificial Reef, Inc. started to bale up 2,000,000 tires and dump them out over 15 hectares of shallow water a couple of miles off shore. See [L], I've flagged the one visible fish in a sea of toxic waste. But the steel cables corroded and the nylon cables abraded and the heap of individual tires wasn't stable enough to encourage colonisation. The loose tires whacked lumps of the adjacent real reef and then headed for shore where they became unsightly trash on the resort beaches of Fort Lauderdale. 

It was clear by 2000 AD that the reef had to go but it took another 10 years before the task was off-loaded onto Innovative Readiness Training (IRT) program of the Department of Defense. The military piffled about getting salvage-dive training for their squaddies and raised 75,000 tires [about 4% of the total] over a couple 2008, 2009 of Summer seasons before the boys were deployed elsewhere. In 2015, the baton was taken up by Industrial Divers Corporation (IDC) with a contract amounting to $4.3million. Raising 4,000 tires a week, they are going to be at it for the next 15-20 years if they get 30 working weeks a year.  By, say, 2040, Osborne will be the reef that never was.

Monday, 8 March 2021

Osborne 1

The Beloved worked for Clive Sinclair in the early 80s getting the ZX80, ZX81, ZX Spectrum series on  the road and into homes across the World. We have the stamps to prove it. Sinclair was a boffin, but also a bodger, making stuff up as he went along. The ZX80/81 didn't have a display [because all homes in the market had a TV] or storage [because those same homes had a tape cassette player] and, initially, it only had 1k of RAM onboard.  It wasn't marketed as a business or university tool but b'god it was empowering for that generation of youngsters who were prepared to do a lot of typing and thinking to get a game going that would be more amusing than tic-tac-toe. But it only cost £99! It was a sort of Protestant machine. Hard to work, thrifty of resources and, really, a bit dour.

Meanwhile across the pond Adam Osborne, another supersmart [also Mensa] [part-]British entrepreneur, had recognised a gap in the market between the home-hobbyist futzing about with their ZX81s and the big-assed corporations and universities who were operating time-share on mainframe computers the size of a utility room. He was embedded in the computer world because he used to write books and manuals: An Introduction To Microcomputers sold 300,000 copies. He reckoned that a portable computer priced at $1,750 would sell like hot cakes, and he was right. Even if the 5in/12.5cm screen was much smaller than kids were getting on the family TV. And see the trendy besuited exec [L] swinging his Osborne 1 as he races to catch the plane to JFK? [And yes, the Osborne 1 was designed to fit under airplane seats]. The running salaryman wants to be careful he doesn't drop the box on his executive toes - it weighed 12.5kg. Then again, maybe the insider message is that the Osborne 1 is for well fit young turks as they claw up the corporate ladder planting their portable computer in the faces of losers.
Check out what working was like with a computer the size of a sewing machine and a screen the size of postcard. It's all command-line driven because the mouse was still being bred in captivity; not to be released before 1984.

For a while in the early 80s, the Osborne 1 was Number 1 as executive status symbol. Then in late 1983, the brash youngish CEO of Osborne boasted that the company had two new products in development which would make the Osborne 1 look lumpy and over-priced. Sales collapsed! And the company went bankrupt before these new wonder computers could be launched. Timing is everything in the mass market. The unintended consequence of premature bragulation will be known forever as The Osborne Effect. He was only 64 when he died in Kodaikanal, India.

Sunday, 7 March 2021

Mar Sun day 021 bit

It's another best Sunday of the Month

Irish State Bird Answer

Saturday, 6 March 2021

All Colonels

I had a real conversation last week with, like, a person rather than the grainy moving image of a person. It was legit because it was generating uplifting broadcast fodder to stop the People of Lockdown going postal. We talked a bit about working and [I R Retire!] not working and Chris cited a story he'd seen recently on BBC, about Greg Jackson who runs a £1billion company without an HR department! Jackson is a serial ideas-bloke entrepreneur but the seminal lesson in management came when he was in his 20s. He was new to the job but tried to helpfully manage one of the key effectives in the company.  The other party held up her hand until . . . "She finished the call, like a consummate professional, and she turned to me and said: 'Greg, I bring up two boys and a husband on the poxy wage this company pays. If I can do that, you can be pretty sure I can do anything this company wants from me. And by the way Greg, I was here before you were here and I'll be here after you have gone. I love the company more than you do, so you never need to tell me what to do.'"

I take a couple of things from that anecdote. a) Some people are not driven only by money; they have an internal clock for value, self-worth and standards; they do their job well because they can do it no other way. b) Management often gets in the way of productive work.

I had a life-time in academic science and was often poorly managed. Far too much time was spent in meetings to generate Learning Outcomes [always always using Bloom's Taxonomy] for academic courses and none spent obliging me to become a more thoughtful, creative, inspiring teacher. I went to several CPD workshops: courses on statistics, programming and grant-writing but these were voluntary, even if carried out on company time. Through the crappy partition walls I'd often ear-wig on appalling teaching practice in the room next door: hectoring, exasperated, monotonous.

Promotion in academic circles takes you further from coal-face-time with students and actual scientific research - like with test-tubes and Petri dishes - and more into a managerial role. I've never heard of any senior academics being mentored for better budget control, HR or time management. All of which are essential management skills to get the best from the available resources. One of the places I started working had recently promoted their most effective researcher to be Head of Department. Like many highly effective scientists, this person was far better at coaxing life from a stone than interacting with people. They were hopeless dealing with, say, The Viper, a sarcastic, self-important, undermining bully; or a demarcation dispute between lecturers and technicians; or a really distressed, recently orphaned, student. They should have stayed at the bench but promotion carried a bit more money, considerably more prestige, and a bigger office with, like, a window.

A few years later, a management restructure created a Head of School to interface between HoDs and the {CEO, CFO, VPthis, VPthat cabinet} which ran the institution. The former HoD applied and was duly transfigured into HoS with the vital role of managing two [that's 2] subservient HoDs. Supervising two presumably competent people is not a full time job, so the working week was filled with meetings of important committees and exactly duplicating, not very well, the work of the HoDs.

Take travel. If I needed to go elsewhere on company business or on CPD, I could claim travel expenses. That might be a train ticket, mileage for the car if trains went the wrong way, a per diem, and/or overnight accommodation if essential. Once, I took two students to a conference of interest in Dublin. I filled in The Green Form to get prior approval and claimed mileage for the car, essentially giving a free ride to the two impoverished students. The Form was signed by my HoD, counter-signed by our HoS and forwarded to Finance for approval by the CFO. Many weeks later, The Form came back stamped DISALLOWED because I drove to Dublin rather than taking the train. That's fair enough, but it was galling that neither the HoS nor the HoD paid sufficient attention to doing their job well to flag the problem before the event when it could have been remediated. And WTF is it about a system that can't trust anyone to make a honest claim for their out of pocket expenses and, worse, can't trust the HoD to give appro for any such claim? Lack of trust engenders lack of trust-worthiness.

So many managers all washing the linen that has just been laundered by a subordinate. So big their salary, so mighty their pension prospects. I written before about how often hopeless these people are when the shit hits the fan Frrrrrp! and some actual management is required. I've written about wholly disfunctional management, but also management which fell apart when required to manage.

I'll finish with a graphic image seeded in my mind by my favorite talking-walker. In the Before Times, I'd meet this fellow on the lane when he was mitching off from his day job to watch larks ascending on the upland heath above us on the hill. The previous weekend to one such encounter, he'd attended an on-farm CPD meeting in the next county. Whatever they were being shown cannot of been so interesting because he started idly to calculate the suit-to-effective ratio. There was an actual farmer, with mud on his jeans and shit on his watch-cap, wrestling with some piece of demonstration machinery and two more farmers watching with empathy and attention. Then there were a dozen fonctionnaires in new wellingtons and clean trousers: the men [yes, all men; and yes, all on expenses] out for the day from their offices at Teagasc, Coillte, DAFF, IFA, the CoCo, Quango-X, Bord Bia, RELAY, Bord na Mona. My informant estimated that the suits were sucking at the government teat to the tune of €500,000 /yr, while farmer, a grown up with 40 years experience, was making less than a trainee teacher.

Friday, 5 March 2021

Head-dinger

It's the clarion of our times: black kids getting an unfair share of attention from cops. Now for not wearing cycle helmets. Bike helmets? Everyone has strong opinions on the matter, but those feelings are not always evidence-based. Nevertheless, some jurisdictions are really hot for helmets and have enacted laws to require them a) is for adult but more commonly c) is for children. And it seems that b) is for black cyclists get an unwanted solicitous interest in their own safety from the police.

That in itself is a reason for a serious rethink of Helmet Laws because it is easier to decriminalize bare-pate biking than it is to de-racialize cops. This issue was discussed with a lot of heat and some light and even some data on Metafilter. I came to the discussion late enough that people were calling each other idiots, so I was hesitant to contribute my 2c-worth of victim-blaming. I was whacked off my bike, in September 1997, by a woman looking down for her mobile phone rather than up for stationary cyclists. Werner Herzog made a film about people who'd killed others while txtn. In all the aftermath of that non-fatal road crash, I had to fill in a lot of forms and they all asked whether [__] I-the-cyclist was wearing a helmet. At the time it gave me a friss of indignation having been the innocent victim of a 1.5 tonne assault on my person causing actual bodily harm. The debate on Metafilter included "blaming the victim" in similar circumstances. It is ever thus when the balance of power is grossly asymmetrical, the powerful <cof>George Hook</cof> put their thumb on the scale by blaming the victim: "she was asking for it with that short skirt". If you cycle without a helmet, you are by definition reckless, and so the blame for the crash can slide off the car's bonnet and anoint the fallen. I am the cliché patriarch: children, grandchildren, silver hair, a farrrrm[let] of land, respeck. All that privilege! Except that one time in 1997 that I was a victim being blamed. Something that women, and POC and children experience with depressing regularity.

I also take this opportunity to boast a bit.  In 1997, cell-phones were still a minority sport; cycling is/was much less common in Ireland than, say, DK or NL; car-tonks-cyclist is comparatively infrequent. Put the numbers in a Venn diagram, and I reckon I've a good claim to be the earliest Irish example of mobile-phone related vehicular assault or at least an early foistee of victim-blaminghood in that field. 

At first glance[ing blow] pretty much everyone say that wearing a bicycle helmet is A Good Thing - for kids certainly and for adults too. And on an individual basis the risk assessment says gerra hat! Because the cost is much less that harm of connecting your unprotected head with the curb or road surface. If you can afford a bike, you can afford a helmet and a bell, reflective strips, lights as well. Then again, then again, the marginal cost of a helmet may stop people who really need the exercise from getting some cardio cycling to work or the shops for a Sunday newspaper. So Helmet Laws may have net negative effect on community morbidity and mortality. The marginal cost may tip the balance. Same applies to bikeshare schemes. A poor person can ride a sharebike across town to a job interview. If they get the job, then they can buy a helmet for the commute. The poor don't have money, car-driving legislators. And, with more force, helmet laws give crook cops yet another stick to beat black people.

The free from helmet lobby worry about victim blaming and that bullying cyclists to wear a foam hat does little for a cyclist who encounters a car travelling at 50 or 80 km/h leaving a partly protected head barely attached to a broken body. Maybe the campaign should be on drivers and their behaviour, hmmm?. It has been argued that typical bike-helmets with their weird holes and baffles make sufficient sound that cyclists cannot hear traffic behind them and so take curb hugging evasive action. The €300 answer to that is the Hövding: an airbag for the head and neck which deploys from its collar [as R] like an airbag on impact. But that will take our POC job-seeker months to pay off.

Most imaginable cases where a bike helmet comes into its calling will involve other damage: road-planing abrasions [wear gloves!], bent forks, wrenched shoulders. It's therefore expedient to take measures to avoid the incident in the first place. What worked for me during 40,000km of commuting:
  •  Abattoir boots: white wellingtons: my standard cycling footwear
  • A wide reflective SamBrowne belt
  • Two velcro reflective strips round the ankles: really effective because they move up and down and are brighter than the . . .
  • Big lens lights back and front. Flashing smaller brighter lights came later
  • A 40cm reflective plastic flag pointing offside from the back carrier. Kept cars an extra 80cm from my shoulder.   
See what I did there? I measured the psychological effect of intervention X on driver Y. That idea was tested [ooooo data] by a cycling psychologist from Bath, Ian Walker, in 2007. He kitted up his bike with sensors and took to the streets until he had been overtaken by more that 2,000 cars and recorded distance to curb, vehicle size and colour, time of day, bikelane? and helmet? Later he added data with him wearing a blonde [I R a wimmin] wig. The crunched data indicated that cars shaved significantly closer to helmeted cyclists [because protected?] and edged further from wiggy [because women drivers?]. In 2013, the raw data was re-analysed by Jake Olivier a road-safety expert who carries a torch for helmets. If you look at the data through Olivier's stats-lens, then there is no significant effect on driver behaviour. In 2019 Walker went at this rebuttal, fingered a bunch of statistical special pleading in Olivier's case and re-stated The Walker Effect about driver reaction to helmets. That all tells me that the effect is about as clear as whether masks work against CoVid-19. But fuzzy data won't stop folks getting vehement when they are choosing a fence-side.
 
Ben Goldacre & David Spiegelhalter British mavens for the public understanding of numbers wrote a nuanced BMJ editorial about helmets and law and their effects. It's too short to explore all the avenues but it emphasises that we need a more holistic view of public health interventions. Demonizing cyclists and forcing them to the road-margins of our car-obsessed lives is politically appealling because its much easier to cram a helmet on the poor bloody cyclist than it is to pay attention to the view through the windscreen.
Leigh van Valen was an eccentric but brilliant evolutionary biologist in the 1960s and 70s. He was famous form driving a VW beetle through the streets of Chicago wearing a motor-cycle crash-helmet. This being before air-bags. Seat-belt laws were only introduced in the USA in the 1980s. In-car crash-helmets was real nutty professor stuff. But what about it? If we are in whataboutery mode, what about whip-lash? That is the big driver-up of insurance premiums in Ireland and terrible to endure. Do you think that whip-lash is made worse because the torso is tethered to the seat, so all the inertial flexure is taken by the cervical vertebrae. 
Q When will prophylactic orthopedic neck-braces become compulsory for car-drivers and their passengers? 
A bout the same time as plane-seats are forced to face rearwards.

Thursday, 4 March 2021

Gerald CND Holtom

Gerald Holtom was born in 1914, so he was 3 years older than my father. In 1939, my father was already in uniform, at least partly in default of other career options for his caste when, at the age of 14,  he joined the British navy. Then again, his survivor's what-if fantasy was going to read History at university; graduating just in time to be called up; joining the army and being killed in the Western Desert. Given his AngloIrish military background [so many Captains and Colonels], Warrior Whatever had a fatal inevitability. Holtom, by contrast, refused to serve during WWII and registered as a conscientious objector.  

Both my parents served in uniform in the War both saw friends in bloody bits but they didn't experience Lotto survival odds like the citizens of Leningrad, Hamburg, Dresden or Nagasaki. As the the USSR, UK and USA started to develop weapons of mass destruction in the 1950s a sense of existential dread began to cause sleepness nights for thousands across the world. In England that started to consolidate as the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament CND which wanted to stop the development of ever more powerful and sophisticated bombs and missiles. In 1958, the Direct Action Committee Against Nuclear War (DAC) another peacenik group and CND planned a 50 mile Easter [4-8 April that year] protest march from the centre of London to the Atomic Weapons Research Establishment at Aldermaston.

Holtom turned up to a planning meeting on 21st February with the now iconic anti-war symbol shown in all its stark simplicity above left. I turned 4 that June and tbh I didn't grow up in the CND orbit. As a navy brat (my Dad [was] retired in 1967) CND was in some sense the opposition. I did think it was a rather clever design though - I thought it looked like the tail fins of a bomb as it fell away from the delivering aircraft. Wrong! 

Holtom's design didn't, like Athena, spring fully armed from the head of Zeus. It started off as a cross until the bloody crusader association nixed that. His doodling hand dropped the arms of the cross  "I was in despair. Deep despair. I drew myself: the representative of an individual in despair, with hands palm outstretched outwards and downwards in the manner of Goya's peasant before the firing squad. I formalised the drawing into a line and put a circle round it". It is also, cleverly, a rebus of the letters N[uclear] and D[isarm] in semaphore [R]. Along with morse code and ship's rigging, we were also taught semaphore as kids. The best design is one so simple that a child can draw it, yet distinctively memorable and positively associated with 'the product'. Think FedEx - Ice Cream - Mastercard. But here's the thing, Holtom, the DAC and CND were mis-remembering the campesino fusilado who captures the attention in Goya's Tres de Mayo:

who is making a much more defiant U[p yours] than a drooping N. The logo was neatly transposed to a defiant Eiffel Tower after the November 2015 attacks in Paris. This image is deliberately off copyright, so work away on your own mods.

Wednesday, 3 March 2021

Outport home-coming

Me, I live somewhere, as we all do, but I don't have a Home. As a navy brat, impermanence was the one constant in my young life. That restless trajectory continued until we bought a place we planned to settle in. Been here 25 years this Spring which is more than half my adult life. Our neighbours are sheep-farmers, all getting on in years, and a generous handful of tree-huggin' blow-ins like ourselves. The farmers are all getting on in years because very few youngsters want to stay in the valley delivering lambs and shearing ewes and sheltering in the lee of a hedge when a squally shower passes through. There are easier ways of making a living; even stacking shelves in Tesco yields more ready money than farming, let alone accountancy, banking, computers or dentistry.

As it happens there are two teenagers in the community who love the farming life with all its challenges and coups and want to live in the valley forever. Last year, I was appointed Heritage Liaison Officer for our hill and my unpublished report became a blueprint for creating a fulfilling income stream that might support these chaps in their choice of holding the fort, keeping a candle in the window of our community while 'most everyone leaves. If nobody repairs the thatch, there's no place to return to come Christmas. Blueprint would be far too grand for the clatter of half-ideas which I committed to paper. And don't get me wrong, farming is, so, a fulfilling life . . . it's just that the goddam income streams into other pockets.

This go-or-stay dilemma was in our minds when Chris Hayes of HedgeRadio came up from the plains to do an outside broadcast about the Ringstone. Broadcasters get a lockdown passport because we'd all go fakkin' mad if we had nothing to listen to but the fever-bird and the kettle boiling. He wanted to talk about the Ringstone but he also wanted to talk about wresting a meaningful life from the uplands . . . because wool is "selling" for 15c a kilo this year. He cited an inspiring source for solutions to moribund economies in Zita Cobb [R, aged three with her Dad, the 7th generation of fishing Cobbs] , who was raised in Joe Batt's Arm [a competitor for the best town name on the planet] on Fogo Island [neighboured previously] off the N Shore of Newfoundland.

All the shoreline communities in Newfdl, except St.John's, are called outports and they all depended on the fishing . . . until they didn't. Rapacious multinational greed and a disastrous fisheries policy implemented by the Ottawa government succeeding in killing almost every fish between the coast and the 200 mile economic exclusion zone. In the first half of the 20thC, Canadian boats were landing half a million tonnes of fish each year. But the model didn't scale up, between 1950 and 1980, huge factory ships from Europe and North America stripped the ocean floor of more and more bottom-feeding fish. Peaking in 1968, the cod fishery collapsed to 13,000 tonnes in 1996: about 1% of the heyday landings. Around that time Cobb père went fishing all day and returned with one fish.

He encouraged his daughter to get herself an education and while she was in college her beloved Uncle Art, who lived next to the home-place, died and left her everything; which amounted to $300 and his tumbledown house on a rock by the harbour in Joe Batt's Arm. She couldn't do much about the house right then because she had to make her fortune as an entrepreneur and business whizz. Eventually, however, Zita and her brothers made good a promise to give back. First by endowing educational scholarships for Fogo Islanders. When that was characterised as haemorrhaging the social life-blood of the community, they endowed an 'economy of belonging' through the Shorefast community trust. Uncle Art's cottage was recast as The Fogo Island Inn, where visitors experience the magic of a place that's far away from far away. The people who change the sheets and serve the meals get a more certain income than ever their fathers wrested from the unforgiving sea. Every meal served, every item sold in the tourist tat shop comes with a an Economic Nutrition Label which spells out who benefits from every dollar the visitor spends.

The cod did come back, not like they ever were in the before times [swarming with fish, which could be taken not only with the net but in baskets let down with a stone, so that it sinks in the water] but fished from the depths on long-lines by members of the Shorefast Trust, and sold for good money [check the Economic Nutrition Label! 69% of the value is pumped back into the Fogo community] to discerning codophiles. That's got to be better than setting up a call-centre handling angry bank customers from Toronto. Ireland is particularly rich in call-centres full of min.wage workers who are kept from natural light for 9 hours every day.

Fogo is a long long way from here. Our teenage boy farmers aren't going long-lining in the R Aughnabriskey which bisects the valley and I don't see either of them as sous-chef in The Ringstone Resort Hotel . . . but something could be done that was fit for purpose in this our own community; with all its quirks and foibles and awash with social capital. Maybe it's time I came home.

Lynx: revitalizing Fogo Island Part 1 - Part 2. The Crisis of Belonging [Walrus transcript]
The Lock-keeper by Stan Rogers, reflects on the differing world-views of home-bodies and rovers Read The Lyrics:
But that anchor chain's a fetter
And with it you are tethered to the foam
And I wouldn't trade your life for one hour of home